IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Central Michigan
Mid-American
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.1	#207
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	80.3	#10
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.5	#157

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.6	#279

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.9%	4.2%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.8	13.6	14.3

.500 or above	30.2%	41.5%	18.5%
.500 or above in Conference	31.0%	38.3%	23.4%
Conference Champion	2.8%	4.1%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	20.5%	15.4%	25.9%

First Four	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
First Round	2.8%	4.0%	1.5%
Second Round	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Neutral) - 50.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 8	5 - 12
Quad 4	6 - 3	11 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 28, 2020	212	Robert Morris	W	76-75	51%
Dec 01, 2020	171	@ Florida International	L	84-89	31%
Dec 05, 2020	333	@ Western Illinois	W	89-82	73%
Dec 09, 2020	199	@ Youngstown St.	L	78-82	37%
Dec 12, 2020	155	Valparaiso	L	81-82	48%
Dec 22, 2020	238	@ Western Michigan	L	78-79	44%
Jan 02, 2021	179	Miami (OH)	W	79-78	53%
Jan 05, 2021	126	@ Akron	L	77-86	22%
Jan 09, 2021	146	@ Bowling Green	L	80-87	27%
Jan 12, 2021	172	Kent St.	W	82-81	52%
Jan 16, 2021	160	Eastern Michigan	L	74-75	50%
Jan 19, 2021	137	@ Toledo	L	77-85	26%
Jan 23, 2021	146	Bowling Green	L	83-84	47%
Jan 26, 2021	116	@ Buffalo	L	83-93	20%
Jan 30, 2021	172	@ Kent St.	L	79-84	32%
Feb 02, 2021	134	Ohio	L	79-81	44%
Feb 06, 2021	189	@ Northern Illinois	L	72-76	36%
Feb 09, 2021	130	Ball St.	L	76-78	44%
Feb 13, 2021	116	Buffalo	L	86-90	38%
Feb 16, 2021	134	@ Ohio	L	76-84	26%
Feb 20, 2021	238	Western Michigan	W	81-76	64%
Feb 23, 2021	160	@ Eastern Michigan	L	72-78	32%
Feb 27, 2021	130	@ Ball St.	L	73-81	26%
Mar 02, 2021	137	Toledo	L	80-82	44%
Mar 05, 2021	189	Northern Illinois	W	75-73	55%
Projected Record						10 - 15	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		2.8	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	0.9	1.3	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0				3.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.5	1.7	0.9	0.2	0.0						4.8	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	1.9	2.3	0.9	0.1	0.0							5.6	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	1.8	2.9	1.1	0.2	0.0								6.3	5th
6th									0.4	2.1	3.5	1.6	0.2										7.9	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	2.1	4.2	2.2	0.2	0.0										9.0	7th
8th						0.0	0.2	1.9	4.5	2.7	0.3	0.0											9.6	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	2.2	4.6	3.2	0.5	0.0												10.9	9th
10th				0.1	0.8	2.7	4.4	3.3	0.8	0.0													12.1	10th
11th		0.0	0.4	1.5	3.3	4.4	2.7	0.7	0.0														13.0	11th
12th	0.6	1.8	3.1	3.7	3.4	1.5	0.4	0.0															14.4	12th

Total	0.6	1.8	3.5	5.3	7.5	8.9	9.8	10.9	10.8	9.9	8.2	7.0	5.5	3.8	2.7	2.0	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
18-2	99.6%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	86.7%	0.4		0.4	0.1	0.0
16-4	66.4%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.0
15-5	42.7%	0.8		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	13.9%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	3.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.5%	0.0				0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.8%	2.8		1.5	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%									0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0						0.0
19-1	0.1%		96.3%	45.0%	51.3%	9.2						0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		93.2%
18-2	0.2%		45.3%	36.3%	9.0%	11.2									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		14.1%
17-3	0.5%		40.2%	32.6%	7.6%	12.2											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.3		11.3%
16-4	1.0%		28.7%	27.9%	0.8%	12.8											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.7		1.1%
15-5	2.0%		19.1%	19.0%	0.1%	13.2													0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.6		0.1%
14-6	2.7%		11.0%	11.0%		13.6													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		2.4
13-7	3.8%		9.1%	9.1%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	3.4
12-8	5.5%		7.3%	7.3%		14.4														0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0	5.1
11-9	7.0%		4.1%	4.1%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	6.7
10-10	8.2%		2.7%	2.7%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	7.9
9-11	9.9%		1.5%	1.5%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.7
8-12	10.8%		0.5%	0.5%		15.7																0.0	0.0	10.8
7-13	10.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
6-14	9.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
5-15	8.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
4-16	7.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
3-17	5.3%																							5.3
2-18	3.5%																							3.5
1-19	1.8%																							1.8
0-20	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		2.9%	2.8%	0.1%	13.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.7	0.7	0.4	97.1		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%